Padres vs. Yankees Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread - May 26

Published: May. 26, 2023 at 12:42 PM MST|Updated: May. 26, 2023 at 3:47 PM MST
Friday's contest that pits the New York Yankees (30-22) versus the San Diego Padres (23-27) at Yankee Stadium has a projected final score of 5-3 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Yankees, who is a small favorite in this matchup. First pitch is at 7:05 PM on May 26.
The probable pitchers are Joe Musgrove (1-2) for the Padres and Randy Vasquez for the Yankees.
Padres vs. Yankees Game Info & Odds
- When: Friday, May 26, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
- Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
- How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
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Padres vs. Yankees Score Prediction
Our prediction for this contest is Yankees 5, Padres 3.
Total Prediction for Padres vs. Yankees
- Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
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Padres Performance Insights
- In nine games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Padres have a record of 4-5.
- In its last 10 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- In their last game with a spread, the Padres failed to cover.
- The Padres have won 15, or 48.4%, of the 31 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season San Diego has won 15 of its 31 games, or 48.4%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
- The Padres have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- San Diego ranks 25th in the majors with 200 total runs scored this season.
- The Padres have a 3.98 team ERA that ranks 10th among all league pitching staffs.
Yankees Performance Insights
- The Yankees have played as the underdog three times over their past 10 games and are undefeated in those matchups.
- In its last 10 games with an over/under, New York and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total five times.
- The Yankees have not covered the runline in any of their last 10 matchups (two of those games had a spread).
- The Yankees have been chosen as underdogs in 14 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (42.9%) in those games.
- This year, New York has won six of 14 games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- The offense for New York is the No. 11 offense in the majors, scoring 4.6 runs per game (239 total runs).
- The Yankees have the sixth-best ERA (3.72) in the majors this season.
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Padres Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
May 20 | Red Sox | L 4-2 | Joe Musgrove vs Chris Sale |
May 21 | Red Sox | W 7-0 | Michael Wacha vs Corey Kluber |
May 23 | @ Nationals | W 7-4 | Yu Darvish vs MacKenzie Gore |
May 24 | @ Nationals | L 5-3 | Ryan Weathers vs Trevor Williams |
May 25 | @ Nationals | W 8-6 | Blake Snell vs Jake Irvin |
May 26 | @ Yankees | - | Joe Musgrove vs Randy Vasquez |
May 27 | @ Yankees | - | Michael Wacha vs Luis Severino |
May 28 | @ Yankees | - | Yu Darvish vs Gerrit Cole |
May 30 | @ Marlins | - | Ryan Weathers vs Sandy Alcantara |
May 31 | @ Marlins | - | Blake Snell vs Braxton Garrett |
June 1 | @ Marlins | - | Joe Musgrove vs Jesús Luzardo |
Yankees Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
May 20 | @ Reds | W 7-4 | Jhony Brito vs Luke Weaver |
May 21 | @ Reds | W 4-1 | Luis Severino vs Hunter Greene |
May 23 | Orioles | W 6-5 | Gerrit Cole vs Kyle Bradish |
May 24 | Orioles | L 9-6 | Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Tyler Wells |
May 25 | Orioles | L 3-1 | Clarke Schmidt vs Kyle Gibson |
May 26 | Padres | - | Randy Vasquez vs Joe Musgrove |
May 27 | Padres | - | Luis Severino vs Michael Wacha |
May 28 | Padres | - | Gerrit Cole vs Yu Darvish |
May 29 | @ Mariners | - | Domingo Germán vs Bryce Miller |
May 30 | @ Mariners | - | Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Logan Gilbert |
May 31 | @ Mariners | - | Clarke Schmidt vs George Kirby |
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