Fourth of July ushers in weather pattern change

 

The Fourth of July marks a brutal period of weather typically in the Valley. The last week of June and first week of July are typically our hottest weeks before the monsoon season arrives with relief. This year will be no exception.

High temperatures in the Valley will peak just shy of the 110-degree mark on Wednesday afternoon, falling to the upper 90s by the time fireworks shows begin just after 9 p.m.

[FORECAST: 7-day forecast | Hourly forecast]

[THINGS TO DO: Arizona events for 4th of July 2018]

That stacks up pretty close to normal when you look at the historical averages. The normal high for July 4 in Phoenix is 107. We typically don’t see any rain on the Fourth. In fact, it’s only rained 18 times on the Fourth since the National Weather Service began keeping records in 1896!

We do have rain in the forecast later in the week.

[CHECK IT OUT: The 5 best things about the Arizona monsoon]

[SPECIAL SECTIONS: Arizona monsoon 2018 | Arizona's extreme heat]

Our seasonal monsoon pattern is set to take shape starting Thursday and lasting into early next week at least. Hopefully, this brings measurable rain to the high country where drought conditions led officials to cancel many fireworks displays this year.

Here’s a look at how much rain typically falls during monsoon season in the high country:

MOBILE/APP USERS: CLICK HERE TO SEE NWS'S GRAPHIC ON AVERAGE RAINFALL TOTALS

In Phoenix, we pick up around 2.5-3 inches of rain during the monsoon season, with July typically being our wettest month.

[RAIN TOTALS: Past 24 hours and past year]

MOBILE/APP USERS: CLICK HERE TO SEE NWS'S GRAPH OF PHOENIX PRECIP AVERAGES BY MONTH

Long-term climate outlooks are still pointing to an active season with above-average rainfall for July through September.

[RELATED: Summer rains could be later but heavier in Southwest US]

[MORE: Weather blog]

MOBILE/APP USERS: CLICK HERE TO SEE THE CPC'S 3-MONTH PRECIP OUTLOOK

Fingers crossed this pans out! Arizona certainly needs the rain.

[READ MORE: Monsoon season not expected to end drought in US Southwest]

[RELATED: Gov. Ducey: Warm winter means challenging wildfire season ahead]Click/tap here to download the free azfamily mobile app.Copyright 2018 KPHO/KTVK (KPHO Broadcasting Corporation). All rights reserved.

Good Morning Arizona Meteorologist

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